2017年9月6日 星期三

Peter F. Drucker and 'Managing Ignorance,'

紐約時報Peter Drucker (1909-2005)訃文

Peter F. Drucker and 'Managing Ignorance,'  

----2005
妻讀了我寫的 Peter Drucker ,說想讀 My Years with General Motors。她說她也是『經營者』…..
我說你讀不下去。過兩天,我推薦她讀Drucker的回憶錄。
報紙上都一面倒。
我在1990-91年教東海化工系,就是用Peter Drucker的『管理學』(台灣1973約有三種翻譯),那時版權在聯經。不過,我也讀過,有人說『管理學』也只是泛泛之言而已。

敬弔 現代經營學、社會觀察大師 Peter Drucker
2005年11月12日19:55從NHK廣播知道先生仙逝。(日美影響力、 員工是資產、 1965年三等瑞寶勳章……)
Peter F. Drucker, a Pioneer in Social and Management Theory, Is Dead at 95

今天,看到廖月娟譯的先生《旁觀者:杜拉克回憶錄》(Adventures of a Bystander by Peter Ferdinand Drucker ,1993重新發行)在大陸的機械工業出版社發行(台灣約10年前舊書)。
約半年前,我收聽先生的50分鐘收音機訪談。先生諄諄告誡美國人: 世界已經是多強國之局勢…….
像許多人一樣,我們從70年代初起,讀了先生二三十本的著作,受益良多……
約十年前,先生是少數可以用email給 The Economist 澄清觀點的人。
H. A. Simon的回憶錄上提過,與你等”主講” (?)世銀亞洲論壇。
先生稱 W. E. Deming 為 Ed.。你說,他對美國經營界有很深的挫折。
昨天,談 Sloan先生的 My Years With General Motors,引:「杜拉克在回憶錄上一章:「史隆的專業風彩」。1970s他為在發行的 My Years with General Motors 寫序。
二○○五年八月,在《每日遇見杜拉克》出版前夕,編輯部透過本書的共同作者兼編者馬齊里洛教授,與杜拉克對話,完成了這篇越洋專訪。杜拉克和馬齊里洛是多年至交,從他們的對話裡,我們得以窺見仍然轉動不息的大師心智世界。以下便是專訪摘要。http://www.bookzone.com.tw/event/cb600/p01.asp

Q.
在所有的管理經典裡,您會推薦哪一本,可以做為現代管理者的智慧泉源?而又有哪些管理之外的領域,是值得現代管理者多所關注的呢?

A. 
亞佛瑞‧史隆(Alfred Sloan)所著的《我與通用汽車》(My Years with General
Motors
),這是我推薦所有管理者閱讀的書。而管理者需要在經濟學、心理學以及政治科學方面多所涉獵。」



We tend to think of Drucker as forever old, a gnomic and mysterious elder. At least I always did. His speech, always slow and measured, was forever accented in that commanding Viennese. His wisdom could not have come from anyone who was young. So it's easy to forget his dashing youth, his long devotion to one woman and their four children (until the end, Drucker still greeted his wife of 71 years with an effusive "Hello, my darling!"), or even his deliciously self-deprecating sense of play.

 Peter F. Drucker, a Pioneer in Social and Management Theory, Is Dead at 95



Published: November 12, 2005

Correction Appended
Peter F. Drucker, the political economist and author, whose view that big business and nonprofit enterprises were the defining innovation of the 20th century led him to pioneering social and management theories, died yesterday at his home in Claremont, Calif. He was 95.
Skip to next paragraph

Lee Celano
Peter F. Drucker in 1999.

His death was announced by Claremont Graduate University.
Mr. Drucker thought of himself, first and foremost, as a writer and teacher, though he eventually settled on the term "social ecologist." He became internationally renowned for urging corporate leaders to agree with subordinates on objectives and goals and then get out of the way of decisions about how to achieve them.
這本文集The Ecological Vision: Reflections on the American Condition (1993)台灣未翻譯Wikipedia article "Peter Drucker".

He challenged both business and labor leaders to search for ways to give workers more control over their work environment. He also argued that governments should turn many functions over to private enterprise and urged organizing in teams to exploit the rise of a technology-astute class of "knowledge workers."
Mr. Drucker staunchly defended the need for businesses to be profitable but he preached that employees were a resource, not a cost. His constant focus on the human impact of management decisions did not always appeal to executives, but they could not help noticing how it helped him foresee many major trends in business and politics.
He began talking about such practices in the 1940's and 50's, decades before they became so widespread that they were taken for common sense. Mr. Drucker also foresaw that the 1970's would be a decade of inflation, that Japanese manufacturers would become major competitors for the United States and that union power would decline.
For all his insights, he clearly owed much of his impact to his extraordinary energy and skills as a communicator. But while Mr. Drucker loved dazzling audiences with his wit and wisdom, his goal was not to be known as an oracle. Indeed, after writing a rosy-eyed article shortly before the stock market crash of 1929 in which he outlined why stocks prices would rise, he pledged to himself to stay away from gratuitous predictions. Instead, his views about where the world was headed generally arose out of advocacy for what he saw as moral action.
His first book ("The End of Economic Man," 1939)was intended to strengthen the will of the free world to fight fascism. His later economic and social predictions were intended to encourage businesses and social groups to organize in ways that he felt would promote human dignity and vaccinate society against political and economic chaos.
"He is remarkable for his social imagination, not his futurism," said Jack Beatty in a 1998 review of Mr. Drucker's work "The World According to Peter Drucker."
Mr. Drucker, who was born in Vienna and never completely shed his Austrian accent, worked in Germany as a reporter until Hitler rose to power and then in a London investment firm before emigrating to the United States in 1937. He became an American citizen in 1943.
Recalling the disasters that overran the Europe of his youth and watching the American response left him convinced that good managers were the true heroes of the century.
The world, especially the developed world, had recovered from repeated catastrophe because "ordinary people, people running the everyday concerns of business and institutions, took responsibility and kept on building for tomorrow while around them the world came crashing down," he wrote in 1986 in "The Frontiers of Management."
Mr. Drucker never hesitated to make suggestions he knew would be viewed as radical. He advocated legalization of drugs and stimulating innovation by permitting new ventures to charge the government for the cost of regulations and paperwork. He was not surprised that General Motors for years ignored nearly every recommendation in "The Concept of the Corporation," the book he published in 1946 after an 18-month study of G.M. that its own executives had commissioned.
From his early 20's to his death, Mr. Drucker held various teaching posts, including a 20-year stint at the Stern School of Management at New York University and, since 1971, a chair at the Claremont Graduate School of Management. He also consulted widely, devoting several days a month to such work into his 90's. His clients included G.M., General Electric and Sears, Roebuck but also the Archdiocese of New York and several Protestant churches; government agencies in the United States, Canada and Japan; universities; and entrepreneurs.
For over 50 years, at least half of the consulting work was done free for nonprofits and small businesses. As his career progressed and it became clearer that competitive pressures were keeping businesses from embracing many practices he advocated, like guaranteed wages and lifetime employment for industrial workers, he became increasingly interested in "the social sector," as he called the nonprofit groups.
Mr. Drucker counseled groups like the Girl Scouts to think like businesses even though their bottom line was "changed lives" rather than profits. He warned them that donors would increasingly judge them on results rather than intentions. In 1990, Frances Hesselbein, the former national director of the Girl Scouts, organized a group of admirers to honor him by setting up the Peter F. Drucker Foundation for Nonprofit Management in New York to expose nonprofits to Mr. Drucker's thinking and to new concepts in management.
Mr. Drucker's greatest impact came from his writing. His more than 30 books, which have sold tens of millions of copies in more than 30 languages, came on top of thousands of articles, including a monthly op-ed column in The Wall Street Journal from 1975 to 1995.
Among the sayings of Chairman Peter, as he was sometimes called, were these:
¶"Marketing is a fashionable term. The sales manager becomes a marketing vice president. But a gravedigger is still a gravedigger even when it is called a mortician - only the price of the burial goes up."
¶"One either meets or one works."
¶"The only things that evolve by themselves in an organization are disorder, friction and malperformance."
¶"Stock option plans reward the executive for doing the wrong thing. Instead of asking, 'Are we making the right decision?' he asks, 'How did we close today?' It is encouragement to loot the corporation."
Mr. Drucker's thirst for new experiences never waned. He became so fascinated with Japanese art during his trips to Japan after World War II that he eventually helped write "Adventures of the Brush: Japanese Paintings" (1979), and lectured on Oriental art at Pomona College in Claremont from 1975 to 1985.
比較書名 Song of the Brush: Japanese Painting from the Sanso Collection (1979)


Peter Ferdinand Drucker was born Nov. 19, 1909, one of two sons of Caroline and Adolph Drucker, a prominent lawyer and high-ranking civil servant in the Austro-Hungarian government. He left Vienna in 1927 to work for an export firm in Hamburg, Germany, and to study law.
Mr. Drucker then moved to Frankfurt, where he earned a doctorate in international and public law in 1931 from the University of Frankfurt, became a reporter and then senior editor in charge of financial and foreign news at the newspaper General-Anzeiger, and, while substitute teaching at the university, met Doris Schmitz, a 19-year-old student. They became reacquainted after waving madly while passing each other going opposite directions on a London subway escalator in 1933 and were married in 1937.
Mr. Drucker had moved to England to work as a securities analyst and writer after watching the rise of the Nazis with increasing alarm. In England, he took an economics course from John Maynard Keynes in Cambridge, but was put off by how much the talk centered on commodities rather than people.
Mr. Drucker's reputation as a political economist was firmly established with the publication in 1939 of "The End of Economic Man." The New York Times said it brought a "remarkable vision and freshness" to the understanding of fascism. The book's observations, along with those in articles he wrote for Harpers and The New Republic, caught the eye of policy makers in the federal government and at corporations as the country prepared for war, and landed him a job teaching at Sarah Lawrence College in Bronxville, N.Y.
Writing "The Future of Industrial Man," published in 1942 after Mr. Drucker moved to Bennington College in Vermont, convinced him that he needed to understand big organizations from the inside. Rebuffed in his requests to work with several major companies, he was delighted when General Motors called in late 1943 proposing that he study its structure and policies. To avoid having him treated like a management spy, G.M. agreed to let him publish his findings.
Neither G.M. nor Mr. Drucker expected the public to be interested because no one had ever written such a management profile, but "The Concept of the Corporation" became an overnight sensation when it was published in 1946. " 'Concept of the Corporation' is a book about business the way 'Moby Dick' is a book about whaling," said Mr. Beatty, referring to the focus on social issues extending far beyond G.M.'s immediate operating challenges.
In it, Mr. Drucker argued that profitability was crucial to a business's health but more importantly to full employment. Management could achieve sustainable profits only by treating employees like valuable resources. That, he argued, required decentralizing the power to make decisions, including giving hourly workers more control over factory life, and guaranteed wages.
In the 1950's, Mr. Drucker began proclaiming that democratic governments had become too big to function effectively. This, he said, was a threat to the freedom of their citizens and to their economic well-being.
Unlike many conservative thinkers, Mr. Drucker wanted to keep government regulation over areas like food and drugs and finance. Indeed, he argued that the rise of global businesses required stronger governments and stronger social institutions, including more powerful unions, to keep them from forgetting social interests.
According to Claremont Graduate University, Mr. Drucker's survivors include his wife, Doris, an inventor and physicist; his children, Audrey Drucker of Puyallup, Wash., Cecily Drucker of San Francisco, Joan Weinstein of Chicago, and Vincent Drucker of San Rafael, Calif.; and six grandchildren.
Early last year, in an interview with Forbes magazine, Mr. Drucker was asked if there was anything in his long career that he wished he had done but had not been able to do.
"Yes, quite a few things," he said. "There are many books I could have written that are better than the ones I actually wrote. My best book would have been "Managing Ignorance," and I'm very sorry I didn't write it."

Correction: Nov. 19, 2005, Saturday:

An obituary last Saturday about the political economist and management consultant Peter F. Drucker misstated the source of a quotation about him - "He is remarkable for his social imagination, not his futurism" - and misstated the authorship of a book, "The World According to Peter Drucker." The book was written by Jack Beatty, not by Mr. Drucker, and the quotation was from the book, not from a review of the book. Because of an editing error, the obituary also misstated the source of a quotation from Mr. Drucker. It was Fortune magazine, not Forbes, in which he said: "There are many books I could have written that are better than the ones I actually wrote. My best book would have been 'Managing Ignorance,' and I'm very sorry I didn't write it."

讀 Drucker - A Life in Pictures (2015)

從Drucker 在NYU的待遇,可以推論Dr. Deming "退休"前後的待遇,尤其是80年代。
根據 Drucker - A Life in Pictures 一書
1. In 1969 he was awarded New York University’s highest honor, its Presidential Citation.[65]
( Letter recognizing Presidential Citation of New York University, Box 8, Folder 7, The Drucker Institute Archives, Claremont, California.
1968.12.9
Correspondence from James M. Hester to Peter Drucker, 1968-12-09
1960s
Receives the Presidential Citation at New York University, the highest award given by the university.)
2. 1972.7.25 Drucker to Jim and Milie
Drucker 說搬到加州洛杉磯東40哩的Claremont....不想加入史丹佛大學商學院,因該校要求全職教學,而Drucker 對該校也不覺得合口胃。Drucker 答應NYU每年公開演講3次 (4月,以Distinguished University Professor 名義。這是在University Professor之前加形容詞。)
3. 從1972.7.25 上信可知Drucker 可讀日文。他太太Doris是日本專利轉成美國專利的總代理。她在80歲還新設公司,賣其專利:"會議麥克風聽力偵測器"......
「華人戴明學院」是戴明哲學的學習共同體 ,致力於淵博型智識系統的研究、推廣和運用。 The purpose of this blog is to advance the ideas and ideals of W. Edwards Deming.
DEMINGCIRCLE.BLOGSPOT.COM

2017年8月18日 星期五

the weakest link, the limiting factor, a bottleneck...

the weakest link,  the limiting factor,  a bottleneck...


明智周【從列寧的鏈圈帝國主義論看養身】
列寧曾經說過,一條鐵鍊的強度,並不是看它有多粗壯、打造得多精密,而是要去觀察它『最薄弱的環節』有多脆弱。
我們的身體也是一樣:個別部分的強大,並不會帶給我們太多好處;個別部分的缺陷,卻往往一瞬間要了我們的老命。
同樣的道理,會養身的人,或者說是老化速度比別人慢的人,往往不是因為他『做了什麼事』,而是因為他『做對了某一件事』,從而能夠有效、及時地補強身體上的『最薄弱環節』。
類似這種想法的用語是"Bottleneck - Wikipedia"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bottleneck
Bottleneck literally refers to the top narrow part of a bottle. In engineering, it refers to a phenomenon where the performance or capacity of an entire system is limited by a single or small number of components or resources.
de Bono 的著作 Word Power 有此字眼的詳解。

顧問師將它發展成所謂的"限制理論"TOC:
The Theory of Constraints is a methodology for identifying the most important limiting factor (i.e. constraint) that stands in the way of achieving a goal and then systematically improving that constraint until it is no longer the limiting factor. In manufacturing, the constraint is often referred to as a bottleneck.

簡單地說,研究系統或其限制時,要注意最弱環節 (the weakest link,  the limiting factor,  a bottleneck)。然而,有時系統內部互動複雜,環環相扣,要了解最大/最小的"貢獻因素"很不容易。所以依照隨便找出的"最弱環節"來處理,可能只是局部的最佳化。



the weak/weakest linkthe person or thing in a situation that is less strong, skilful etc than the others Goalkeeper Gouter proved to be the weakest link.
----
http://www.phrases.org.uk/meanings/the-weakest-link.html

A chain is only as strong as its weakest link

Meaning

The proverb has a literal meaning, although the 'weakest link' referred to is figurative and usually applies to a person or technical feature rather than the link of an actual chain.

Origin

The Weakest LinkWe are most likely these days to come across the phrase 'the weakest link' in reference to the popular TV quiz show of that name, which originated in the UK, hosted by Anne Robinson, and was later syndicated for use in many other countries. The show, which relies on the demonstration of the abysmal lack of general knowledge by many of the participating contestants, is an example of the many 'humiliation television' shows of the early 21st century and is a sad spectacle.
A chain is only as strong as its weakest linkIt is clearly a literal fact that a chain is only as strong as its weakest link. The conversion of that notion into a figurative phrase was established in the language by the 18th century. Thomas Reid's Essays on the Intellectual Powers of Man, 1786, included this line:
"In every chain of reasoning, the evidence of the last conclusion can be no greater than that of the weakest link of the chain, whatever may be the strength of the rest."

2017年8月9日 星期三

明星球員的超高待遇的難題

明星球員的超高待遇的難題
球隊既然市一團隊,則某人待遇超高,幾佔全隊的4成或5成,則該隊可以"長治久安"嗎?


Neymar’s €222m move from Barcelona to Paris Saint-Germain shocked football fans around the world. But it is not quite the craziest deal in the sport’s history

2017年5月2日 星期二

企業存在的目的就是創造顧客,任何企業都”僅有”兩個基本的任務--行銷和創新


Peter Drucker, the father of U.S. management consulting, once advised that only two business functions produce new customers. They are "marketing" and "innovation." All other functions are expenses. This means Chinese companies have to learn about marketing. They will have to learn about "positioning" or how to win battles in the mind of a customer and prospect. They will have to learn about "marketing warfare" or how to cope with competition. They will have to learn about "differentiation" or how to figure out what makes you different from your competitors. But most of all, they have to understand that it's not just about low price, but about added value or creating that reason as to why a product is worth a little more than competitive products.





v企業存在的目的就是創造顧客,任何企業都”僅有”兩個基本的任務--行銷和創新。行銷是企業最重要、最獨特的任務。--杜拉克(Peter Drucker)


market (MAKE AVAILABLE) Show phonetics
verb [T]
to make goods available to buyers in a planned way which encourages people to buy more of them, for example by advertising:
Their products are very cleverly marketed.

marketing Show phonetics
noun [U]
a job that involves encouraging people to buy a product or service:
a career in marketing
Our marketing people have come up with a great idea for the launch of the new model.

marketable Show phonetics
adjective
Marketable products or skills are easy to sell because a lot of people want them:
This is a highly marketable product.

2017年4月27日 星期四

溝通最重要的地方,是去傾聽沒有說出的部分

.......民調過半數支持蔡的各項改革,這是人民給蔡當局最好、最新的授權,蔡因此不必畏首畏尾,對少數捍衛既得利益的人士可以不必理會,但溝通之門永遠打開,因為這是民主政治的政治正確。彼得.杜拉克在《高效率執行》的書中點出:「溝通最重要的地方,是去傾聽沒有說出的部分。」抗議改革者沒說出的部分,國人都心知肚明,但無法對重點部分做妥協,因為那會造成不公平、不正義;在枝節部分做出讓步倒無可厚非,給他們台階下好過逼他們抵死抗爭。蔡要求官員多做溝通是對的,但要有策略、有節奏、有步驟,對自己的主張必須明確、簡單、透澈,而非直覺。如果連什麼幾百壯士都搞不定,如何與對岸的強國人周旋? --蘋論:民意過半支持蔡改革 

2017年3月12日 星期日

告訴我,共產主義去哪兒了


告訴我,共產主義去哪兒了


1917年俄國革命的起點是幻象與盼望,終點卻是恐怖與戰爭。100年後,一些國家如中國仍以此為基礎。這一意識形態究竟走向了何方?


(德國之聲中文網)對權力的幻想總是反映在藝術與文化中。前蘇聯斯大林時期,1930年代曾計劃修建一座巨大的宮殿(如圖)。二戰中該計劃暫停,而到了1957年,也就是斯大林死後四年,該工程被其繼任者赫魯曉夫叫停。


但自1917年俄國革命以來,共產主義時期的痕跡仍大量存在。在過去或者現在仍是馬列主義的國家,社會主義建築影響著城市的風格。比如,所謂的平板樓,千篇一律,千樓一面。幸好粉刷上色彩繽紛的外牆漆,投資改造成宜居的住宅樓,才讓東德成片的平板樓告別了歷史的灰色。


模板城市


回首共產主義初期的建築風格,無論在美學還是政治上都最雄心勃勃。經典的例子是柏林的前斯大林林蔭大道(現在的卡爾·馬克思大道和法蘭克福大道),還有艾森許滕斯塔特市。後者位於與波蘭邊境,完全是按設計圖紙建造的城市。1950年代早期的一部宣傳影片中把東德執政的統一社會黨(SED)秘書長瓦爾特·烏布里希(Walter Ulbricht)稱為"社會主義的建築師",可謂名副其實。


但是,自從1917年二月革命爆發至今,共產主義本身究竟留下了什麼呢?100年後的今天,史學界、政界仍在關注這個問題。柏林近日的一次會議討論了不同的角度:流行文化中的共產主義、共產主義作為小眾政治分支、歐洲回憶文化中的共產主義。


T 恤衫上的切·格瓦拉


從偶像人物切·格瓦拉到前蘇聯強制勞動營古拉格,共產主義的範圍很廣。位於柏林的"東德統一社會黨專制政權重新評估基金會"多角度呈現這一主題。該基金會舉行"各時代的共產主義"展覽,從1917年的俄國開始,到後共產主義的當代結束,客觀展現20世紀的歷史:集體主義、領袖崇拜、英雄塑造、社會主義世界觀、亞非拉戰爭、西德的左翼運動。


讓展覽走向觀眾


該展覽形式簡單,令人驚奇,其理念是"可移動布展"。展覽由25塊圖文並茂的展板組成,展覽也印製成了2000份印刷品。感興趣的大中小學、歌德學院等,可以免費獲得。


這一意識形態和結構仍以不同的方式繼續存在,並令人驚訝地仍顯示出活力,其代表當然是大國中國。史學家科嫩(Gerd Koenen)說,沒有俄國,就沒有共產主義中國。他的新書《紅色:共產主義的起源與歷史》將於今年9月出版。10月,柏林的德國歷史博物館將展出"1917,革命,俄羅斯與歐洲"。


"東德統一社會黨專制政權重新評估基金會"則創建了多個網絡項目。"dissidenten.eu"(意為異見人士)已經啟動。3月底還將啟動"Kommunismusgeschichte.de"(意為共產主義歷史)。










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恩格斯故鄉成了“共產主義迪斯尼”


中國政府向恩格斯故鄉烏珀塔爾贈送雕像,但這位共產主義創始人之一的另一面卻並不為許多中國人所知。與此同時,香港人正在為自己的政治地位擔憂。(12.06.2014)






德語媒體:“共產黨官員更懂資本主義?”


週末的德語媒體將目光投向了中國的宏觀經濟形勢。而剛剛結束的習近平英國之行也依然是德語媒體的重點話題。(24.10.2015)






越南消費主義當道共產主義名存實亡?


共產黨在消費主義當道的越南依舊掌權執政,但專家認為,從經濟角度來看,共產主義在越南早已名存實亡。(08.11.2014)






最後的馬克思主義游擊隊


哥倫比亞政府準備與反叛武裝“民族解放軍”實現和解。該馬克思主義武裝是哥倫比亞最後的較大游擊隊組織之一。現在,終於可以開始談判了。(09.02.2017)




日期 12.03.2017
作者 Marcel Fürstenau